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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
NELSON vs. DURHAM CITY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Nelson's and Durham City's ELO scores.
| Nelson | Durham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3298.5 | 2466.6 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3706.6 Saturday, March 7, 1925 |
3603 Monday, December 26, 1921 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 3325.8 Saturday, May 2, 1931 |
2466.6 Saturday, April 24, 2010 |
A summary of all historical matches between Nelson and Durham City.
| Venue | Played | Nelson wins |
Draws | Durham City wins |
Nelson goals |
Durham City goals |
Nelson SR% |
Durham City SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| HOME | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| AWAY | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 FEB 1928 | LGE | Durham City (3436) |
3 - 0 | Nelson (3457) |
12.2 |
| 24 SEP 1927 | LGE | Nelson (3569) |
2 - 1 | Durham City (3446) |
3.8 |
| 5 MAR 1927 | LGE | Durham City (3410) |
3 - 3 | Nelson (3668) |
3.6 |
| 16 OCT 1926 | LGE | Nelson (3629) |
1 - 1 | Durham City (3506) |
6.1 |
| 27 FEB 1926 | LGE | Nelson (3647) |
4 - 0 | Durham City (3545) |
8.1 |
| 17 OCT 1925 | LGE | Durham City (3550) |
0 - 2 | Nelson (3607) |
17.7 |
| 29 APR 1925 | LGE | Durham City (3500) |
3 - 1 | Nelson (3664) |
16.9 |
| 16 SEP 1924 | LGE | Nelson (3651) |
7 - 1 | Durham City (3496) |
7.3 |
| 10 FEB 1923 | LGE | Nelson (3602) |
4 - 0 | Durham City (3482) |
7.7 |
| 3 FEB 1923 | LGE | Durham City (3493) |
0 - 1 | Nelson (3591) |
10.5 |
| 14 APR 1922 | LGE | Durham City (3517) |
2 - 0 | Nelson (3491) |
9.2 |
| 26 DEC 1921 | LGE | Nelson (3569) |
3 - 5 | Durham City (3584) |
19.2 |